Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2908.749277 3144.823678 3384.106623 3644.479344 3919.488994 4200.999095 4510.617795
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2559.929511 2914.317218 3286.935108 3706.689298 4165.127505 4649.383507 5198.330746
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2281.791338 2702.184855 3156.613685 3681.813483 4269.494229 4904.295441 5639.244592
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2133.427824 2609.495575 3135.807276 3756.664238 4464.762734 5243.005106 6158.698567
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1982.855828 2498.119690 3079.506672 3778.014106 4588.218356 5492.258330 6570.920869
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1845.389783 2389.983608 3016.187937 3781.256141 4682.295114 5701.396400 6932.487371
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1665.356283 2219.123775 2868.324783 3675.057405 4639.773560 5745.638549 7097.886066
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1622.088991 2209.829849 2909.233794 3789.681261 4854.766541 6088.032896 7609.773685
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1563.657928 2177.250359 2918.202168 3862.769563 5018.202216 6369.028315 8050.232996
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1475.243021 2101.659142 2869.734230 3861.678344 5088.952308 6537.873939 8356.901049
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1382.445442 2015.356902 2803.351462 3834.215519 5124.001385 6661.342717 8607.719763
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1325.430726 1972.368390 2788.824479 3869.089203 5233.950045 6874.303218 8966.248961
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1252.947475 1906.707252 2743.977892 3865.333129 5296.929540 7032.637429 9263.193231
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1213.935116 1884.137506 2753.583308 3930.398543 5446.348135 7298.196832 9693.592860
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1141.437323 1812.111076 2695.020868 3904.412413 5478.098582 7416.662020 9942.458727
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1114.537454 1801.721819 2716.994992 3982.599916 5642.503679 7700.699052 10397.502455
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1068.597039 1762.161960 2697.807505 4004.898367 5733.897032 7892.876121 10738.801408
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1018.832382 1714.714636 2665.793833 4008.284326 5799.403231 8051.715855 11038.508029
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 932.635133 1610.275140 2551.569028 3897.354303 5711.842470 8013.154769 11087.172393
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 929.150416 1627.694430 2606.951470 4017.083312 5929.487655 8366.513992 11634.883840
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 911.725653 1623.234187 2630.869871 4093.405963 6089.691377 8646.862363 12091.408547
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 870.697668 1581.097376 2599.669445 4092.266572 6145.374724 8791.701764 12374.959101
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 823.576417 1527.439117 2549.986048 4063.590229 6162.528850 8885.511689 12592.594170